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Bending the Law of Unintended Consequences
Englisch
115 b
30 Tage für die Rückgabe der Ware
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This title provides managers, executives and other professionals with an innovative method for critical decision-making. The author first explains the reasons for decision failures using the Law of Unintended Consequences. This account draws on the work of sociologist Robert K. Merton, psychologists Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman, and economist Herbert Simon to identify two primary causes - cognitive biases and bounded rationality. The author then introduces an innovative method for "test driving" decisions that addresses both causes by combining scenario planning and "what-if" simulations. This method enables professionals to learn safely from virtual mistakes rather than real ones. The author provides four sample test drives of realistic critical decisions as well as two instructional videos to illustrate this new method. This book provides leaders and their support teams with important new tools for analyzing and refining complex decisions that are critical to organizational well-being and survival.
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Englisch
