Analysis of Global Demand for Fertilizer in 2015 and 2030

Long term fertilizer demand forecast is key to the§success of long term plans for global food security.§Hence the Food and Agriculture Organization of United§Nations makes crop projections with the goal of§halving the incidence of undernourishment by 2015.§The amount of fertilizer to support these crop§projections is of paramount interest to both public§and private organizations with interest in the§fertilizer industry. Three forecasting techniques are§compared. Fertilizer consumption varies by region.§The Rest of Asia region is expected to continue its§dominance in total fertilizer consumption by§accounting for 48 percent of the global forecast of§154 million Mt in 2015 and 177 million Mt in 2030.§Sub-Saharan Africa will remain the lowest consumption§region. The slower fertilizer consumption growth rate§forecast in the developed regions is evidence of the§effectiveness of the ongoing environmental§stewardship programs. The slower growth rates in§developing countries is however an issue of concern.§A call is made to the various governments to study§these findings and come up with pragmatic and§comprehensive programs to address the low fertilizer§use in their countries.